| OCR Text |
Show suburban densities of 2.84 persons per acre (this number is the total persons in urban level 2 built-out TAZ's that met the density cap discussed above) and 2 persons per acre for the remainder of the suburban and rural TAZ's, then approximately 146,855 acres of previously undeveloped land would be developed under this scenario "Development Scenario 4 - Concentrated Hyper-Growth" The fourth and final scenario, similar to Scenario 3, is based on Capital Region Target Populations that were developed for each projection year based on the growth rates expected for the U.S. population as whole between 2000 and 2040. However, what is different from Scenario 3 is that instead of distributing the growth within each county proportionate to CDRPC's baseline projections, the growth in each TAZ would be scaled in proportion to the overall regional rates of projected growth. The distribution of growth would be constrained by environmental factors; however there would be no density caps. The general effect of this scenario is a large amount of the regional growth would be concentrated, in some instances at higher densities, in the already developed and the newly developed areas within the region. The resulting distribution is shown on the "Development Scenario 4 - Concentrated Growth Hyper Growth" map. The characteristics of the distribution of growth projected in the Concentrated Hyper-Growth scenario are as follows: • Out of a total projected population growth of 309,190 persons, 121,506 persons would be located in Saratoga County (39%); 99,766 in Albany County (32%); 48,720 in Rensselaer County (16%); and 39,198 in Schenectady County (13%); • 64% of the projected population growth would be concentrated in the region's existing urbanized area; • 15% of the population growth would be located in the cities of Albany, Schenectady and Troy (44,942 persons); • 26% of the population growth would be located in the region's cities and villages (81,656); 1/7/2010 Effects of Alternative Development Sc… cdtcmpo.org/policy/june07/wa-doc.htm 29/60 |
