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Show • The top ten municipalities in terms of net projected increase in population from 2000 to 2040 are: Halfmoon (11,581), Clifton Park (8,873), Saratoga Springs (8,675), Bethlehem (7,992), Guilderland (6,919), Colonie (6,144), Wilton (5,049), Malta (4,640), Milton (4,009), and East Greenbush (3,545). (Note: The net projected increase in the towns does not include any villages that may be located within the town). Land Consumption The average suburban residential development density in the Capital District in 2000 was approximately two persons per acre. This is derived by taking the urbanized area of the region (according to the U.S. census definition) and removing the high-density city and village areas, and then calculating the persons per acre of the remaining urbanized area. According to CDRPC's population projections, 90 percent of the projected population growth (81,097 persons) will take place in the suburban and rural areas of the region. If we assume that future suburban development will take place at an average density of 2 persons per acre, then approximately 40,549 acres of land would be developed under the status quo trend. The distribution of new persons is based on historic population and land development trends. In order to better understand the issues associated with the status quo trend, in addition to potential issues associated with the other scenarios to be explored, it will be necessary to summarize the region's historic development trends, and the resulting conditions and issues currently facing the region. Historic Perspective on Status Quo Trend Regional Population Growth From 1950 to 2000, Capital District population grew from 589,359 persons to 794,293 persons, a net increase of 204,934 persons or 35%. During this same period, the fastest growing county of the region's four counties was Saratoga, which grew from 74,869 persons in 1950 to 200,635 persons in 2000, a net increase of 125,766 persons or 168 %. Since 1950, Saratoga County has accounted for 61 percent of the region's population growth. During this period, Albany County's population increased by 23% (55,179 persons); Rensselaer County's population increased by 15% (19,931 persons); and Schenectady County's population increased by 3% (4,058 persons). Between 1980 to 2000, Saratoga County's population increased by 31% (46,876 persons); Albany County's population increased by 3% (8,656 new persons); Rensselaer County's population increased by .4% (572 new persons); and Schenectady County's population decreased by 2.3% (3,391 loss). During the last census period - 1990 to 2000 - the Capital District population grew by 16,500 persons, or 2.1%. The U.S. population increased by 13% during this same period. The map "Net Population Change: 1990- 2000" shows the distribution of growth by MCD during this period. 1/7/2010 Effects of Alternative Development Sc… cdtcmpo.org/policy/june07/wa-doc.htm 9/60 |
