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Show TAZ. These are the same regional growth rates as projected under Scenario 1, with the same net population gain of 90,538 persons projected by 2040, however the rates are applied to each TAZ in proportion to their existing population. The growth rates applied sequentially were: for 2000-2010, 3.934%; for 2010-2020, 2.6684%; for 2020-2030, 2.2315%; and for 2030-2040, 2.0597%. This projection methodology has the effect of directing most of the growth, at higher densities, to existing urbanized areas. The resulting distribution is shown on the "Development Scenario 2 - Concentrated Growth" map. The characteristics of the distribution of growth projected in the Concentrated Growth scenario are as follows (Note: town totals do not include villages): • 76% of the projected population growth would be concentrated in the region's existing urbanized area; • 26%of the projected growth would be in Albany, Schenectady, and Troy; • 41% of the projected growth would be in the region's cities and villages; • The top ten municipalities in terms of net projected new growth from 2000 to 2040 would be: Albany (10,674); Colonie (7,649); Schenectady (7,002); Troy (5,576); Clifton Park (3,736); Guilderland (3,659); Bethlehem (3,548); Glenville (2,291); Halfmoon (2,093); East Greenbush (1,764); • Total population by 2040: Albany (104,975); Colonie (75,081); Schenectady (68,823); Troy (54,746). 1/7/2010 Effects of Alternative Development Sc… cdtcmpo.org/policy/june07/wa-doc.htm 24/60 |
