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Show power supplier for new energy requirements in the region. Total electric generating capacity in the TVA territory has more than trebled since 1933, increas- ing from about 800,000 kilowatts to about 3 million kilowatts. The nearly 18 billion kilowatt-hours produced in 1950 was over 10 times the amount pro- duced in 1933. Indications now point to a serious shortage of power for residential and industrial use in the years immediately ahead. Defense require- ments will also increase. As a result, both hydro- electric and steam capacity will have to be ex- panded. Percentage of base load and total energy output needed for defense.-TVA system requirements are expected to increase from 16 billion kilowatt-hours in the fiscal year 1950 to 25.6 billion in 1953, as in- dicated in the following figures: [In millions of kilowatt-hours] Aluminum.............. Federal agencies......... Other consumption: Directly served indus- tries .............. TVA operations...... Retail distribution require- ments * *.............. Transmission losses....... Total system require- ments........... Ac- tual, 1950 3,641 1,969 1,596 584 7,290 940 Estimated 1951 4,200 2,270 2,100 650 8,680 950 1952 4,200 5,040 2,270 560 9,850 1,160 16,020 18, 850 23,080 » 25, 570 1953 4,200 5,630 2,880 660 10, 920 1,280 1 Includes allowance for distribution losses. 2 Includes industrial consumers served by retail dis- tributors. 3 Under full mobilization, it is estimated total system re- quirements in fiscal year 1953 would be 26,650 million kilowatt-hours. It is impossible to estimate accurately the amount of energy which will be necessary for national de- fense, but as the table indicates, nearly half the total now and in the future, goes for aluminum production, other industries, and the needs of Fed- eral agencies, including the Atomic Energy Com- mission. Regional residential load growth.-The actual residential energy consumption in 1950 was 2.8 billion kilowatt-hours. Estimated consumption in the next few fiscal years is: 1951, 3.5 billion kilo- watt-hours; 1952, 4.1 billion; 1953, about 4.8 bil- lion. This estimate, however, assumes continued unrestricted manufacture of electrical appliances, the connection of approximately 70,000 rural con- sumers presently unserved, connection of about 100,000 new homes, and an increase in average annual residential use from the present 3,000 kilo- watt-hours to about 4,300 kilowatt-hours. Any events necessitating a change in these factors would change the consumption estimates. Trends in farm consumption.-Average use of electricity by farms in this area, not separated as to home and other farm use, is below the national average. Over 80 percent of the farms are served with electricity through Rural Electrification Ad- ministration cooperatives or other means. The smaller consumption is due mainly to the prevailing type of agriculture. Total farm use for fiscal year 1950 was 633 million kilowatt-hours. Estimates for fiscal year 1951 are about 800 million kilowatt- hours; 1952, about 975 million; and 1953, about 1,140 million. Share of power supply available for nondefense industry.-There is no practical way of classifying valley industry as defense or nondefense. During World War II, nearly all of the output of the large industries served directly by TVA was for national defense. Output of most of the industrial plants served by distributors of TVA power also went into the war effort, and some of their output is today going into military production. Sales by distributors to industrial plants using more than 50 kilowatt-hours in the TVA service area, for fiscal year 1950, and estimated for the succeeding 3 years, are: Million kilowatt-hours 1950_________________________2, 630 1951_________________________3,100 1952_________________________3, 350 1953_________________________3,600 Best current estimates are 3,800 million kilowatt- hours for 1954 and 4,000 million kilowatt-hours for 1955. No estimates are available beyond 1955. Without a substantial increase in capacity the system could not meet the power requirements ex- pected after 1953. Demands from areas adjacent to the valley.- Power demands in TVA's present service area will require full utilization of productive capacity now 775 |
