OCR Text |
Show PART V REGIONAL NEEDS AND DEMANDS Minerals Projected value of the minerals needed will quadruple to over $2 billion. The bulk of development will be for petroleum, uranium, coal, molybdenum, and trona production. Mineral-fuels interaction, such as how much uranium and oil shale will replace petroleum and coal, is very dif- ficult to predict. Oil shale and other synthetic fuel developments were not projected as needs under regionally interpreted OBERS. Electric Power A tremendous increase of electric energy production is required to meet projected local and export needs. Over 80 percent of the energy produced will be exported to the Pacific Northwest, Great Basin, Southern California, Lower Colorado Basin, and east of the Rocky Mountains. Location of use Type 5 of generation Year Local use Export Steam Hydro Total Installed capacity in megawatts 1980 i/l,300 13,400 13,400 1,300 14,700 2000 V3,9OO 39,500 42,100 1,300 43,400 2020 1/7,900 35,500 42,100 1,300 43,400 Generation in million kilowatt hours 1980 5,770 97,700 97,570 5,900 103,470 2000 18,200 282,720 295,520 5,4oo 300,920 2020 36,400 237,320 268,420 5,300 273,720 T/Includes 20 percent reserve. Other needs Associated production and protection needs include land management, watershed management, flood control, irrigation and drainage, recreation, fish and wildlife, and water quality. Land Management Improved management and structural practices on grazing lands are required to increase production by 1,300,000 AUM's (animal unit months) by 2020 to meet regionally interpreted OBERS projections, even though 7,100,000 acres less land would be grazed. Proper management and usage will result in the retirement of 5*8 million acres of unsuitable grazing lands. Other uses will require conversion of 1.3 million acres. These |