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Show The 1975 projected changes in sector outputs and increased water intake demand are presented in Table 6. ( All projections are in 1963 constant dollars.) The projections in this table are from the ( 40 x 40) matrix with Households as an endogenous sector. Column 1 is an aggregate of the independently projected final demand changes ( 1963 to 1975); column 2 gives the generated changes in output. Both of these are in thousands of dollars. Columns 3 and 4 are projected changes in water intake demand in millions of gallons, and in acre feet, respectively. The projected increase in total output of nearly 5 billion dollars, is more than three times the projected increase in aggregate Final Demand of about 1.5 billion dollars. The difference between these, both in the aggregate and on a sector- by- sector basis, illustrates the Type II multiplier effect. The largest absolute differences at the sector level occur, for the most part, in those sectors which are directly or indirectly linked to household consumption and/ or the high- valued export sectors. The percentage increase in the output from the base year 1963 to the terminal year 1975, in column 3 of Table 6, represent projected rates of growth of the Industry sectors. The output of the Higher Education sector is projected to more than double. Automobile and Gasoline Retail output is expected to increase by more than 93 per cent. In general, consistently high growth rates are projected in the Retail Trades and Services sectors; nearly all are over 70 per cent. Other than Retail Trades and Services sectors, growth rates are not so impressive, ranging for the most part, from 20See page 17 of this paper for a more detailed discussion. 42 |
