Macrosimulation approach to the investigation of natural fertility

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Publication Type Journal Article
School or College College of Social & Behavioral Science
Department Sociology
Creator Mineau, Geraldine Page; Bean, Lee Lawrence
Other Author Willigan, J. Dennis; Anderton, Douglas L.
Title Macrosimulation approach to the investigation of natural fertility
Date 1982
Description This paper is part of a long-term investigation known as the Mormon Historical Demography Project. It examines the capability of a simulation model, originally proposed by John Bongaarts (1976), to fit the natural fertility pattern which characterized the mid-nineteenth century Mormon population. Application of this model permits estimates to be made of the historical timing and age-incidence of fertility limitation. A sensitivity analysis of the model's parameters demonstrates that simple changes in the model's proximate determinants of fertility, excluding contraceptive practices, would be insufficient to account for later transition effects. Thus the results successfully capture the dynamics underlying the Mormon natural fertility pattern as well as offer a framework for future modeling of the transition away from natural fertility.
Type Text
Publisher Population Association of America (PAA)
Volume 19
Issue 2
First Page 161
Last Page 176
Subject Mormon Historical Demography Project; Macrosimulation; Natural fertility
Subject LCSH Fertility; Fertility -- Mathematical models
Language eng
Bibliographic Citation Willigan, J. D., Mineau, G. P., Anderton, D. L., & Bean, L. L. (1982). Macrosimulation approach to the investigation of natural fertility. Demography, 19(2), 161-76.
Rights Management (c) Population Association of America
Format Medium application/pdf
Format Extent 943,374 bytes
Identifier ir-main,11334
ARK ark:/87278/s6np2nrs
Setname ir_uspace
Date Created 2012-06-13
Date Modified 2021-05-06
ID 704534
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