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CreatorTitleDescriptionSubjectDate
1 Arnim, Rudiger vonA global model of recovery and rebalancingThis paper presents an investigation of global recovery from the Great Recession and the rebalancing of global external imbalances, using a global model of 16 countries and composite regions. The model applies to the short term and only to the real side. Key features are demand-driven output determi...Global imbalances; great recession; global model2012-08-01
2 Von Arnim, Rudiger LennartRebalancing through expenditure and price changesThis paper puts forth a Neo-Kaleckian open economy model of two countries in order to investigate adjustment of US-China external imbalances. First, a stylized fixed mark-up model is presented, and discussed based on graphical analysis. Second, we present estimates of bilateral income and price elas...2012-12-01
3 Von Arnim, Rudiger LennartStructural transformation in China and India: the role of macroeconomic policiesThis paper explores macroeconomic policies that can sustain structural change in China and India. A two-sector open-economy model with endogenous productivity growth, demand driven output and income distribution as an important determinant of economic activity is calibrated to a 2000 SAM for China a...2012-01-01
4 Fowles, RichardUnderstanding the cell phone effect on vehicle fatalities: a Bayesian viewThis article examines the potential effect of various factors on motor vehicle fatality rates using a rich set of panel data and classical regression analysis combined with Bayesian Extreme Bounds Analysis, Bayesian Model Averaging and Stochastic Search Variable Selection procedures. The variables e...2012-01-01
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