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Show PART XII ALTERNATIVE LEVELS OF DEVELOPMENT No. 2-State Alternative To The Framework Plan (8.16 Million Acre-Feet Level of Development) This is an alternate plan of development which reflects 8.16 million acre-feet of man-made depletions in the Upper Basin plus the delivery of an average 7% million acre-feet of water per annum at Lee Ferry. It includes the amounts of water evaporated from reservoirs related to deliveries at Lee Ferry. This plan assumes that the Colorado River water supply will be firmed to meet the Colorado River Compact division of water and that the Mexican Treaty delivery plus associated losses would be a national obligation. Depletion distribu- tion among the states in 2020 equals their proportionate shares under the Upper Colorado River Basin Compact. States have assumed that increased production associated with this level of development will be readily absorbed within national and increasing western markets. This is especially true since the added increment is a small part of the national market and will accordingly have a small impact. State Proposals Arizona retained its allotment of 50,000 acre-feet for 2020 with no changes in types of uses for regionally interpreted OBERS. Colorado plans to irrigate 1,256,000 acres in 2020, which is 104,000 acres more than regionally interpreted OBERS, with a depletion of 1,941,500 acre-feet. Oil shale developments, one on the Upper Main Stem by 2020 and one in the Green River by 2020, of one million barrels per day each, will deplete 194,000 acre-feet annually. A coal by-products plant using 15,000 acre-feet in the San Juan-Colorado, and a potash plant, capacity 1.5 million tons annually, using 9,500 acre-feet, are planned. Fish and wildlife uses will total 71,400 acre-feet, a substantial increase over regionally interpreted OBERS. Thermo-electric power capacity of approximately 10,000 MW will deplete 153,200 acre-feet annually. Export will increase to 1.4 million acre-feet annually. This plan will meet regionally interpreted OBERS requirements for all sectors except power which will be met by Utah. New Mexico plans no changes in agriculture, fish and wildlife, or recreation from regionally interpreted OBERS and will irrigate about 174,200 acres by the year 2020. Population by 2020 is estimated at 189,500 and the minerals industry is projected to available reserves and national need. Thermal-electric powerplant installed capacity 60 |