Long-Term planning projection scenarios

The Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute prepares long-term demographic and economic planning projections to assist with state decision-making. The Institute released a set of baseline (or most likely) projections in January 2022. These baseline projections provide the data foundation for Utah's long-term transportation, water, education, and other planning activities. As a supplement to these baseline projections, the Gardner Institute has now prepared two alternative projection series at the state and county level that provide an upper and lower range. These scenarios convey the inherent uncertainty involved with long-term projections and support planning activities that benefit from a range of alternative futures. This user guide summarizes the purpose, key findings, methods, and limitations of these alternative projections. It also provides the data at the state level and shares product information to help users access and use the data.