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Show Fact Sheet June 2020 Utah State and County Annual Population Estimates by Single Year of Age and Sex: 2010-2019 Table 1. Utah Population, 2019 Overview Utah’s population grew by nearly 450 thousand people (about 16 percent) between 2010 and 2019. Cumulative natural increase (births minus deaths) accounts for 70 percent of the growth and net migration for 30 percent. Birth rates are falling, Utah’s population is aging, and Baby Boomers are retiring. The retirement age population (65 and older) grew by nearly 45 percent, while the youth population (under 18) grew by less than 10 percent. We produced these single year of age and sex estimates for Utah and each of its counties from 2010 through 2019. Using the Utah Demographic and Economic Model (UDEM), we generated age and sex population estimates that sum to Utah Population Committee (UPC) population estimate totals.1 The full dataset is publicly available on our website, and is a valuable resource for planners and other interested parties who require data on detailed subpopulations. Figure 1. Utah Population Pyramid, 2019 100+ 95-99 90-94 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 Under 5 150,000 Female Male Age Male Total 1,619,944 1,600,318 3,220,262 100.0% 1.01 Under 5 126,501 120,697 247,198 7.7% 1.05 5-9 133,907 127,881 261,788 8.1% 1.05 10-14 140,907 133,837 274,744 8.5% 1.05 15-19 123,869 125,953 249,822 7.8% 0.98 20-24 126,108 117,345 243,452 7.6% 1.07 25-29 125,177 120,625 245,801 7.6% 1.04 30-34 127,547 121,458 249,005 7.7% 1.05 35-39 122,491 117,141 239,632 7.4% 1.05 40-44 109,042 105,020 214,062 6.6% 1.04 45-49 89,513 86,839 176,351 5.5% 1.03 50-54 76,489 74,590 151,078 4.7% 1.03 55-59 77,450 78,697 156,147 4.8% 0.98 60-64 73,419 76,055 149,473 4.6% 0.97 65-69 60,164 63,848 124,012 3.9% 0.94 70-74 44,148 48,804 92,952 2.9% 0.90 75-79 28,978 34,410 63,387 2.0% 0.84 80-84 17,925 22,620 40,545 1.3% 0.79 85-89 10,247 14,218 24,466 0.8% 0.72 90-94 4,663 7,426 12,089 0.4% 0.63 95-99 1,247 2,475 3,722 0.1% 0.50 100+ 153 381 534 0.0% 0.40 School Age (5-17) 356,540 340,010 696,551 21.6% 1.05 College Age (18-24) 168,250 165,006 333,256 10.3% 1.02 Working Age (18-64) 969,377 945,429 1,914,806 59.5% 1.03 Under 18 483,041 460,708 943,749 29.3% 1.05 50+ 394,883 423,523 818,406 25.4% 0.93 Retirement Age (65+) 167,526 194,181 361,707 11.2% 0.86 16,311 24,500 40,811 1.3% 0.67 31.3 32.2 31.7 - - Youth Dependency Ratio 49.3 - - Retirement Dependency Ratio 18.9 - - Total Dependency Ratio 68.2 - - 85+ Median Age 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 Source: Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute Female Total Share Sex Ratio Source: Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute Definitions 6.0% These estimates represent the “usual resident” population, meaning they reside in the area for more than half the year. Sex ratio 5.0% is the number of males divided by females. Median age is the age at which half the population is older and younger. Youth dependency ratio is the population under age 18, divided by the 4.0% population 18 through 64. Retirement dependency ratio is the population 65 and older, divided by the population 18 through 64. Total dependency ratio is the sum of the youth and retirement dependency ratios. All dependency ratios are multiplied by 100. 3.0% Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute 2.0% I 411 East South Temple Street, Salt Lake City, Utah 84111 I 801-585-5618 I gardner.utah.edu Table 2. Utah Population Summary, 2010-2019 Year Age 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Total 2,772,373 2,820,613 2,864,744 2,902,179 2,941,963 2,997,584 3,054,994 3,113,983 3,166,647 3,220,262 Under 5 264,247 263,645 260,185 257,535 254,904 254,409 254,067 253,844 250,315 247,198 School Age (5-17) 609,186 621,163 633,261 643,267 653,746 666,992 676,447 683,068 690,731 696,551 College Age (18-24) Working Age (18-64) 317,157 315,365 313,517 311,845 306,479 302,941 304,340 311,874 321,561 333,256 1,648,742 1,677,776 1,700,939 1,720,359 1,739,371 1,770,910 1,805,586 1,841,358 1,879,319 1,914,806 Under 18 873,433 884,809 893,446 900,803 908,650 921,401 930,514 936,912 941,046 943,749 Retirement Age (65+) 250,198 258,028 270,360 281,017 293,942 305,273 318,894 335,713 346,282 361,707 31,363 32,920 34,406 35,501 36,852 37,852 38,965 40,152 40,403 40,811 85+ 100+ Age Median 29.3 29.5 29.8 30.1 30.4 30.7 30.9 31.2 31.4 31.7 95-99 Female Youth Dependency Ratio 53.0 52.7 52.5 52.4 52.2 52.0 51.5 50.9 50.1 49.3 90-94 85-89 Male Retirement Dependency Ratio 15.2 15.4 15.9 16.3 16.9 17.2 17.7 18.2 18.4 18.9 80-84 75-79 Total Dependency Ratio 68.2 68.1 68.4 68.7 69.1 69.3 69.2 69.1 68.5 68.2 70-74 65-69 Source: Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 How do these Estimates Differ from Census Bureau Estimates? 35-39 30-34 4 The 25-29UPC publishes annual total population estimates for for federal purposes. UPC estimates differ from the Census 20-24 Utah and its counties.2 Utah code specifies the conditions under Bureau estimates because they incorporate additional local data 15-19 10-14 which these should be used for planning.3 Our new age and sources and knowledge to account for unique Utah population 5-9 Under 5 sex estimates add value by providing more population detail. characteristics. 150,000 Bureau 100,000produces 50,000 similar 0 population 50,000 100,000 150,000 The Census estimates used Figure 2. Utah Annual Percent Population Growth by Age Group, 2010-2019 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 Total 2013-2014 Under 18 2014-2015 2015-2016 Working Age (18-64) 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019 Retirement Age (65+) Source: Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute Endnotes 1. Hollingshaus, M., Harris, E., Hogue, M.T., Perlich, P.S. (2018). The Utah Demographic and Economic Model: Version 2017. Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute. https://gardner.utah.edu/ wp-content/uploads/udem_2017_final.pdf 2. Harris, E. (2019). State and County Population Estimates for Utah: 2019. Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute. https://gardner.utah.edu/wp-content/uploads/StateCountyPopEst-Dec2019.pdf 3. Utah Code § 63C 20-101. https://le.utah.gov/xcode/Title63C/Chapter20/63C-20.html?v=C63C-20_2018050820180508. 4. United States Census Bureau. (2020). Population and Housing Unit Estimates. https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/about.html. Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute I 411 East South Temple Street, Salt Lake City, Utah 84111 I 801-585-5618 I gardner.utah.edu |
