Accuracy analysis of long-term planning projections for Utah and its counties

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Publication Type policy report
School or College David Eccles School of Business
Research Institute Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute
Creator Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute
Title Accuracy analysis of long-term planning projections for Utah and its counties
Date 2022
Description Analyzing the accuracy of half a century of planning projections in Utah demonstrates the challenges of long-term modeling in a state where population growth and change have been constants. At the state level, series have both under and over projected the population. The 1980s were characterized by over projection, on average. From 1990 to 2010, series tended to under project the population. Series produced since 2000 tend to over project the population. While these trends hold true, individual projection series error differs widely and is more variable at the county level.
Type Text
Publisher University of Utah
DOI 10.7278/S5d-re24-jzy5
Language eng
Series Informed Decisions
Rights Management (c) Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute
Format Medium application/pdf
ARK ark:/87278/s6mma2x4
Setname ir_kcg
ID 2460758
Reference URL https://collections.lib.utah.edu/ark:/87278/s6mma2x4
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